Tomás Pérez
Reason: Red card + yellows
Suspended against: Mirassol
Atlético-MG seeks to break negative streak away from home against Mirassol
Galo tries to defend its position in the top group of the Brasileirão, while the home team wants to maintain momentum in the interior of São Paulo
This Saturday, at 18:30, the José Maria de Campos Maia Stadium will host the match between Mirassol and Atlético-MG, valid for the 35th round of the Brazilian Championship Series A. The final stretch of the competition puts face to face teams that are going through different moments in search of precious points in the table.
What's at Stake
The Atlético Mineiro takes to the field in seventh place with 50 points added in 34 games, trying to shorten the distance to the clubs that appear just above in the classification. With the pressure of direct pursuers like Red Bull Bragantino and Santos, the Minas Gerais team knows that a positive result away from home is fundamental to sustaining its position in the table in this decisive stretch of the championship.
31.1%Mirassol
41.2%Atlético MineiroAutomatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.
10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG
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Managers
Manager
Rafael Guanaes
Mirassol
Manager
Eduardo Dominguez
Atlético Mineiro
Probable lineups
ProbableProjected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.
Who arrives hotter
Mirassol
Manager: Rafael Guanaes
Starters
Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Bench
Atlético Mineiro
Manager: Eduardo Dominguez
Starters
Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Bench
Road to the Match
The recent moment raises an alert for the visiting team, which has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last five games, coming from a 1-1 draw against Grêmio. On the other hand, Mirassol presents a more balanced trajectory in the recent cut, accumulating 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. The home team comes boosted by a 2-1 win over Chapecoense and bets on the local factor to add more points.
Mirassol
Atlético Mineiro
Mirassol
Home games61%
Win rate
1.4
Goals scored/game
1.2
Goals conceded/game
Atlético Mineiro
Away games36%
Win rate
0.8
Goals scored/game
1.3
Goals conceded/game
Tactical Analysis
Despite the recent drought of wins, the statistical model gives a slight favoritism to the Galo, which gathers 39.1% probability of winning in the interior of São Paulo. However, the balance is the tone for the match, since the draw appears with 31.7% of chances, while the triumph of the home team is quoted at 29.3%, showing that the theoretical advantage of the visitors is quite adjusted.
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | 42 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlético Mineiro | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Red Bull Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitória | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Grêmio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Mirassol
Atlético Mineiro
0 wins Mirassol · 1 draws · 2 wins Atlético Mineiro
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro | 3-1 | Mirassol | Arena MRV | |
| Atlético Mineiro | 1-0 | Mirassol | - | |
| Mirassol | 2-2 | Atlético Mineiro | - |
Match Outlook
With the approach of the end of Series A, every tactical detail gains weight at the José Maria de Campos Maia Stadium. The home team will try to exploit the visitors' recent instability, while the Minas Gerais team will seek immediate recovery to stop the winless streak and consolidate its campaign among the top contenders in the national competition.
Last 6 months
Mirassol
Atlético Mineiro
Based on current data. May change before match day.
Mirassol
—
Atlético Mineiro
Tomás Pérez
Reason: Red card + yellows
Suspended against: Mirassol