Data F.C.data F.C.
Brasileirão Série A · Round 35
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia · Mirassol · 15,000 seats
Mirassol31%Draw 28%41%Atlético Mineiro
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Atlético-MG seeks to break negative streak away from home against Mirassol

Galo tries to defend its position in the top group of the Brasileirão, while the home team wants to maintain momentum in the interior of São Paulo

This Saturday, at 18:30, the José Maria de Campos Maia Stadium will host the match between Mirassol and Atlético-MG, valid for the 35th round of the Brazilian Championship Series A. The final stretch of the competition puts face to face teams that are going through different moments in search of precious points in the table.

What's at Stake

The Atlético Mineiro takes to the field in seventh place with 50 points added in 34 games, trying to shorten the distance to the clubs that appear just above in the classification. With the pressure of direct pursuers like Red Bull Bragantino and Santos, the Minas Gerais team knows that a positive result away from home is fundamental to sustaining its position in the table in this decisive stretch of the championship.

Win Probability

Mirassol31.1%Mirassol
=
27.7%Draw
Atlético Mineiro41.2%Atlético Mineiro

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

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MirassolNeutral
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Atlético MineiroNeutral
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Managers

Manager

Rafael Guanaes

Mirassol

W-D-L: 10-10-14Win rate: 29%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 51.2′Subs per game: 5

Manager

Eduardo Dominguez

Atlético Mineiro

W-D-L: 14-8-12Win rate: 41%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 55.2′Subs per game: 4.5

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

6.90Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7 · 7.7 · 6.7 · 6.8 · 7In form: Walter
6.85Avg rating
Últimas notas: 6.9 · 7.1 · 7.1 · 7.8 · 7.4In form: Bernard

Mirassol

Manager: Rafael Guanaes

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Atlético Mineiro

Manager: Eduardo Dominguez

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

The recent moment raises an alert for the visiting team, which has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last five games, coming from a 1-1 draw against Grêmio. On the other hand, Mirassol presents a more balanced trajectory in the recent cut, accumulating 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. The home team comes boosted by a 2-1 win over Chapecoense and bets on the local factor to add more points.

Recent Form

Mirassol

WLDWL
W2-1vs Chapecoense
L0-2vs Corinthians
D1-1vs São Paulo
W2-0vs Internacional
L0-1vs Bahia
Rate: 47%GF: 5GA: 5

Atlético Mineiro

DLLLL
D1-1vs Grêmio
L0-1vs Botafogo
L0-2vs Grêmio
L0-1vs Cruzeiro
L2-3vs Flamengo
Rate: 7%GF: 3GA: 8

Recent results

MirassolAtlético Mineiro

Venue performance

Mirassol

Home games
5W5D1L11 games

61%

Win rate

1.4

Goals scored/game

1.2

Goals conceded/game

Atlético Mineiro

Away games
4W4D7L15 games

36%

Win rate

0.8

Goals scored/game

1.3

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Despite the recent drought of wins, the statistical model gives a slight favoritism to the Galo, which gathers 39.1% probability of winning in the interior of São Paulo. However, the balance is the tone for the match, since the draw appears with 31.7% of chances, while the triumph of the home team is quoted at 29.3%, showing that the theoretical advantage of the visitors is quite adjusted.

Averages (last 6 months)

MirassolAtlético Mineiro

Overview

48.4Ball possession (%)53.0
2.0Big chances2.2
4.5Corner kicks5.4
1.0Expected goals1.4
11.8Fouls11.4
2.3Yellow cards1.7

Overview

1.2Expected goals1.1
3.7Shots on target4.8
12.3Total shots14.3

Season stats — radar

MirassolAtlético Mineiro

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Flamengo34237471294276
2Palmeiras342110362233973
3Cruzeiro34186105548760
4Fluminense34169955421357
5Athletico34159105143854
6Bahia34141195045553
7Atlético Mineiro34148124440450
8Red Bull Bragantino34138134439547
9Santos341211115049147
10São Paulo34128143939044
11Botafogo34119144653-742
12Coritiba34119144051-1142
13Vasco da Gama33118144350-741
14Mirassol341010143948-940
15Vitória34108163551-1638
16Internacional34911143842-438
17Corinthians34910153642-637
18Grêmio34910153847-937
19Remo34611173757-2029
20Chapecoense3349203368-3521

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Mirassol

V 8E 8D 8

Atlético Mineiro

V 14E 9D 8

Head to Head

0 wins Mirassol · 1 draws · 2 wins Atlético Mineiro

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Atlético Mineiro3-1MirassolArena MRV
Atlético Mineiro1-0Mirassol-
Mirassol2-2Atlético Mineiro-

H2H goals history

MirassolAtlético Mineiro

Goals by Minute Range

MirassolAtlético Mineiro

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

With the approach of the end of Series A, every tactical detail gains weight at the José Maria de Campos Maia Stadium. The home team will try to exploit the visitors' recent instability, while the Minas Gerais team will seek immediate recovery to stop the winless streak and consolidate its campaign among the top contenders in the national competition.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Mirassol

Eduardo⚽ 6
Bruno Santos⚽ 4
Edson Carioca⚽ 2
André Luis⚽ 2
João Victor⚽ 2

Atlético Mineiro

Bernard⚽ 7
Tomás Cuello⚽ 5
Renan Lodi⚽ 4
Reinier⚽ 4
Thiago Borbas⚽ 3

Unavailable / Suspended

Based on current data. May change before match day.

Mirassol

—

Atlético Mineiro

Tomás Pérez

Reason: Red card + yellows

Suspended against: Mirassol