Data F.C.data F.C.
Premier League · Round 10
Stadium of Light · Sunderland · 48,707 seats
Sunderland19%Draw 18%63%Chelsea
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In search of a reaction, Sunderland hosts in-form Chelsea in the Premier League

Visitors aim to continue positive streak after triumph over Manchester United, while hosts try to end drought at the Stadium of Light

The Sunderland returns to the field this Sunday (08/11/2026), at 14:00, to face Chelsea at the Stadium of Light in the 10th round of the Premier League. Before their fans, the home team tries to reverse the adverse moment against an opponent who arrives confidently due to recent expressive victories.

What's at Stake

The recent phase of the two teams outlines very distinct trajectories for this confrontation. Sunderland is going through a delicate period in the season, accumulating 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last five games, coming from a 3-1 defeat against Coventry City and a goalless draw against Leeds United. On the other hand, Chelsea has 3 wins and 2 losses in the same interval, boosted by a consistent 2-0 triumph against Manchester United in the previous match.

Win Probability

Sunderland18.7%Sunderland
=
18.6%Draw
Chelsea62.8%Chelsea

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

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ChelseaNeutral
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Managers

Manager

Régis Le Bris

Sunderland

W-D-L: 1-2-6Win rate: 11%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 57.7′Subs per game: 3.6

Manager

Xabi Alonso

Chelsea

W-D-L: 5-1-3Win rate: 56%
Favourite formation: 3-4-3Avg first sub: 66.2′Subs per game: 4.6

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

6.67Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.6 · 7.5 · 7.3 · 7.4 · 7.5In form: Granit Xhaka
6.97Avg rating
Últimas notas: 6.5 · 7.2 · 7.5 · 6.8 · 8.6In form: Wesley Fofana

Sunderland

Manager: Régis Le Bris

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Chelsea

Manager: Xabi Alonso

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

The immediate retrospective directly reflects the projections for the confrontation in the north of England. According to the statistical model, the favoritism falls on Chelsea, which carries 62.8% probability of victory even acting far from its domains. The London team also showed offensive power in recent performances, such as the 5-1 thrashing of Bournemouth, contrasting with the defensive difficulties presented by the hosts, who suffered five goals from Manchester City and three from Coventry City recently.

Recent Form

Sunderland

LDLLL
L1-3vs Coventry City
D0-0vs Leeds United
L0-2vs Bournemouth
L0-2vs Brighton & Hove Albion
L3-5vs Manchester City
Rate: 7%GF: 4GA: 12

Chelsea

WLWWL
W2-0vs Manchester United
L0-2vs Tottenham Hotspur
W2-0vs Everton
W5-1vs Bournemouth
L0-3vs Brentford
Rate: 60%GF: 9GA: 6

Recent results

SunderlandChelsea

Venue performance

Sunderland

Home games
2W1D2L5 games

47%

Win rate

0.6

Goals scored/game

1.0

Goals conceded/game

Chelsea

Away games
2W0D3L5 games

40%

Win rate

1.4

Goals scored/game

1.8

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Despite the unfavorable scenario, Sunderland bets on the home factor to try to score points and change the course of its campaign. The odds point to 18.7% chance of triumph for the hosts and 18.6% of a draw at the end of the ninety minutes. For the home team, scoring against a top contender would represent an immediate relief after the sequence of stumbles without winning at the Stadium of Light.

Averages (last 6 months)

SunderlandChelsea

Overview

49.3Ball possession (%)47.8
2.5Big chances2.2
4.2Corner kicks5.2
1.3Expected goals0.7
11.2Fouls10.4
2.0Yellow cards2.5

Overview

1.5Expected goals1.4
3.9Shots on target5.0
12.8Total shots12.4

Season stats — radar

SunderlandChelsea

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Arsenal00000000
2Aston Villa00000000
3Bournemouth00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove Albion00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Coventry City00000000
8Crystal Palace00000000
9Everton00000000
10Fulham00000000
11Hull City00000000
12Ipswich Town00000000
13Leeds United00000000
14Liverpool FC00000000
15Manchester City00000000
16Manchester United00000000
17Newcastle United00000000
18Nottingham Forest00000000
19Sunderland00000000
20Tottenham Hotspur00000000

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Sunderland

V 3E 2D 6

Chelsea

V 6E 1D 5

Head to Head

3 wins Sunderland · 0 draws · 4 wins Chelsea

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Sunderland2-1ChelseaStadium of Light
Chelsea1-2Sunderland-
Chelsea5-1Sunderland-
Sunderland0-1Chelsea-
Sunderland3-2Chelsea-
Chelsea3-1Sunderland-
Chelsea3-1Sunderland-

H2H goals history

SunderlandChelsea

Goals by Minute Range

SunderlandChelsea

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

The expectation for the match passes through the tactical posture that the visitors must impose, trying to control ball possession and repeat the efficiency demonstrated in the 2-0 triumphs over Everton and Manchester United. Meanwhile, Sunderland will need solidity in its lines to stop the opponent's momentum and take advantage of eventual London oscillations, which already resulted in defeats to Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur in previous commitments.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Sunderland

Brian Brobbey⚽ 4
Enzo Le Fée⚽ 3
Wilson Isidor⚽ 2
Trai Hume⚽ 1
Malo Gusto⚽ 1

Chelsea

João Pedro⚽ 5
Morgan Rogers⚽ 5
Cole Palmer⚽ 4
Pedro Neto⚽ 3
Jordan Henderson⚽ 2

Unavailable / Suspended

Based on current data. May change before match day.

Sunderland

Omar Alderete

Reason: Red card

Suspended against: Chelsea

Chelsea

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