Omar Alderete
Reason: Red card
Suspended against: Chelsea
In search of a reaction, Sunderland hosts in-form Chelsea in the Premier League
Visitors aim to continue positive streak after triumph over Manchester United, while hosts try to end drought at the Stadium of Light
The Sunderland returns to the field this Sunday (08/11/2026), at 14:00, to face Chelsea at the Stadium of Light in the 10th round of the Premier League. Before their fans, the home team tries to reverse the adverse moment against an opponent who arrives confidently due to recent expressive victories.
What's at Stake
The recent phase of the two teams outlines very distinct trajectories for this confrontation. Sunderland is going through a delicate period in the season, accumulating 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last five games, coming from a 3-1 defeat against Coventry City and a goalless draw against Leeds United. On the other hand, Chelsea has 3 wins and 2 losses in the same interval, boosted by a consistent 2-0 triumph against Manchester United in the previous match.
18.7%Sunderland
62.8%ChelseaAutomatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.
10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG
Adjust the scenario
Adjust the controls above and click simulate to see the results distribution.
Managers
Manager
Régis Le Bris
Sunderland
Manager
Xabi Alonso
Chelsea
Probable lineups
ProbableProjected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.
Who arrives hotter
Sunderland
Manager: Régis Le Bris
Starters
Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Bench
Chelsea
Manager: Xabi Alonso
Starters
Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Bench
Road to the Match
The immediate retrospective directly reflects the projections for the confrontation in the north of England. According to the statistical model, the favoritism falls on Chelsea, which carries 62.8% probability of victory even acting far from its domains. The London team also showed offensive power in recent performances, such as the 5-1 thrashing of Bournemouth, contrasting with the defensive difficulties presented by the hosts, who suffered five goals from Manchester City and three from Coventry City recently.
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Home games47%
Win rate
0.6
Goals scored/game
1.0
Goals conceded/game
Chelsea
Away games40%
Win rate
1.4
Goals scored/game
1.8
Goals conceded/game
Tactical Analysis
Despite the unfavorable scenario, Sunderland bets on the home factor to try to score points and change the course of its campaign. The odds point to 18.7% chance of triumph for the hosts and 18.6% of a draw at the end of the ninety minutes. For the home team, scoring against a top contender would represent an immediate relief after the sequence of stumbles without winning at the Stadium of Light.
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Coventry City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Leeds United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Liverpool FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sunderland
Chelsea
3 wins Sunderland · 0 draws · 4 wins Chelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 2-1 | Chelsea | Stadium of Light | |
| Chelsea | 1-2 | Sunderland | - | |
| Chelsea | 5-1 | Sunderland | - | |
| Sunderland | 0-1 | Chelsea | - | |
| Sunderland | 3-2 | Chelsea | - | |
| Chelsea | 3-1 | Sunderland | - | |
| Chelsea | 3-1 | Sunderland | - |
Match Outlook
The expectation for the match passes through the tactical posture that the visitors must impose, trying to control ball possession and repeat the efficiency demonstrated in the 2-0 triumphs over Everton and Manchester United. Meanwhile, Sunderland will need solidity in its lines to stop the opponent's momentum and take advantage of eventual London oscillations, which already resulted in defeats to Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur in previous commitments.
Last 6 months
Sunderland
Chelsea
Based on current data. May change before match day.
Sunderland
Omar Alderete
Reason: Red card
Suspended against: Chelsea
Chelsea
—