Data F.C.data F.C.
Bundesliga · Round 9
RheinEnergieStadion · Cologne · 50,000 seats
1. FC Köln21%Draw 20%59%Bayer 04 Leverkusen
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Köln hosts Bayer Leverkusen at RheinEnergieStadion for the 9th round of the Bundesliga

Visitors attempt to recover from two consecutive defeats, while hosts seek to rediscover the path to victories in front of their fans

The 1. FC Köln takes to the field this Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 14:30, to face Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the RheinEnergieStadion. The match is valid for the 9th round of the Bundesliga and pits teams against each other in search of affirmation in the championship

What's at Stake

Köln comes into the match after a sequence of unstable results in the season. With a record of one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five games, the team comes from two consecutive draws: 1-1 against 1. FC Union Berlin and 0-0 against FC Schalke 04. Playing in their stadium, the team tries to turn the recent defensive consistency into a triumph to climb the national competition table

Win Probability

1. FC Köln21.1%1. FC Köln
=
19.7%Draw
Bayer 04 Leverkusen59.2%Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

Adjust the scenario

1. FC KölnNeutral
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Bayer 04 LeverkusenNeutral
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Managers

Manager

René Wagner

1. FC Köln

W-D-L: 2-3-2Win rate: 29%
Favourite formation: 4-3-3Avg first sub: 59.7′Subs per game: 4.7

Manager

Carles Martínez

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

W-D-L: 4-1-3Win rate: 50%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 60.6′Subs per game: 4.5

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

6.93Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.1 · 8.2 · 7.2 · 7.6 · 6.9In form: Marvin Schwäbe
6.91Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.1 · 6.4 · 8.8 · 6.8 · 8.7In form: Ibrahim Maza

1. FC Köln

Manager: René Wagner

4-4-2

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Manager: Carles Martínez

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen is experiencing a moment of alert after suffering two consecutive and expressive setbacks. The team was surpassed by VfB Stuttgart 4-2 and by TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 in the most recent commitments. Despite these setbacks, the history of the last five games still accounts for three wins and two losses, recalling the good offensive phase demonstrated in the triumphs against SC Freiburg, 1. FSV Mainz 05, and RB Leipzig

Recent Form

1. FC Köln

DDLWL
D1-1vs 1. FC Union Berlin
D0-0vs FC Schalke 04
L0-1vs Eintracht Frankfurt
W2-1vs Borussia M'gladbach
L1-2vs Hamburger SV
Rate: 33%GF: 4GA: 5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

LLWWW
L2-4vs VfB Stuttgart
L0-3vs TSG Hoffenheim
W2-1vs SC Freiburg
W4-3vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
W2-0vs RB Leipzig
Rate: 60%GF: 10GA: 11

Recent results

1. FC KölnBayer 04 Leverkusen

Venue performance

1. FC Köln

Home games
2W2D0L4 games

67%

Win rate

1.5

Goals scored/game

1.0

Goals conceded/game

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Away games
1W1D2L4 games

33%

Win rate

2.0

Goals scored/game

2.8

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Even away from home and coming from setbacks, Bayer Leverkusen carries statistical favoritism, with 59.2% probability of victory according to the analysis model. The chances of Köln surprising and making the most of the home advantage are 21.1%, while the possibility of a draw is calculated at 19.7%. The scenario points to an offensive posture by the visitors to dictate the pace, while the hosts bet on solidity to counter the numbers

Averages (last 6 months)

1. FC KölnBayer 04 Leverkusen

Overview

49.6Ball possession (%)58.7
2.2Big chances3.1
5.9Corner kicks7.4
0.9Expected goals3.3
9.9Fouls10.8
1.9Yellow cards1.9

Overview

1.5Expected goals1.9
4.6Shots on target6.1
15.0Total shots19.7

Season stats — radar

1. FC KölnBayer 04 Leverkusen

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
11. FC Köln00000000
21. FC Union Berlin00000000
31. FSV Mainz 0500000000
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen00000000
5Borussia Dortmund00000000
6Borussia M'gladbach00000000
7Eintracht Frankfurt00000000
8FC Augsburg00000000
9FC Bayern München00000000
10FC Schalke 0400000000
11Hamburger SV00000000
12RB Leipzig00000000
13SC Freiburg00000000
14SC Paderborn 0700000000
15SV 07 Elversberg00000000
16SV Werder Bremen00000000
17TSG Hoffenheim00000000
18VfB Stuttgart00000000

W/D/L (last 6 months)

1. FC Köln

V 2E 3D 4

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

V 4E 2D 3

Head to Head

2 wins 1. FC Köln · 1 draws · 7 wins Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
1. FC Köln1-2Bayer 04 Leverkusen-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen2-01. FC Köln-
1. FC Köln0-2Bayer 04 Leverkusen-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen3-01. FC Köln-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1-21. FC Köln-
1. FC Köln1-2Bayer 04 Leverkusen-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen0-11. FC Köln-
1. FC Köln2-2Bayer 04 Leverkusen-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen3-01. FC Köln-
1. FC Köln0-4Bayer 04 Leverkusen-

H2H goals history

1. FC KölnBayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals by Minute Range

1. FC KölnBayer 04 Leverkusen

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

The meeting at the RheinEnergieStadion brings together two teams that need to provide immediate tactical answers to their recent performances. For Köln, scoring points at home is fundamental to consolidating the evolution after two tough draws. For Leverkusen, the top priority is to stop the defensive weaknesses presented in the last two rounds and make their superiority in the forecasts count

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

1. FC Köln

Said El Mala⚽ 3
Thijs Dallinga⚽ 2
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson⚽ 1
Malek El Mala⚽ 1
Linton Maina⚽ 1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Patrik Schick⚽ 7
Ibrahim Maza⚽ 3
Jarell Quansah⚽ 2
Christian Kofane⚽ 2
Robert Andrich⚽ 1

Unavailable / Suspended

Based on current data. May change before match day.

1. FC Köln

—

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Facundo Medina

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: 1. FC Köln

Ibrahim Maza

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: 1. FC Köln