Data F.C.data F.C.
Serie A · Round 11
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino · Turin · 28,177 seats
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Torino seeks reaction at home against a pressured Lecce

In Turin, the hosts attempt to end a recent negative streak, while the visitors need to score to stop a series of defeats.

This Saturday, at 2 pm, the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino will host the match between Torino and Lecce, valid for the 11th round of the Serie A. Both teams take to the field seeking to rediscover the path to victories in the Italian championship. The match in Turin pits against each other teams that have stumbled and need immediate points.

What's at Stake

Torino comes into the match under pressure after suffering two consecutive setbacks in the competition, being overtaken by Frosinone and Como in the last rounds. Despite these recent stumbles, the maroon team has three wins and two losses in their last five commitments, sustained by the triumphs obtained against Monza, Parma, and Udinese. Playing in front of their fans, the team intends to use the home factor to regain the positive rhythm of the beginning of this sequence.

Win Probability

Torino52.3%Torino
=
22.6%Draw
Lecce25.1%Lecce

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

Adjust the scenario

TorinoNeutral
DefOff
LecceNeutral
DefOff

Adjust the controls above and click simulate to see the results distribution.

Managers

Manager

Ignazio Abate

Torino

W-D-L: 4-1-5Win rate: 40%
Favourite formation: 3-5-2Avg first sub: 53′Subs per game: 5

Manager

Eusebio Di Francesco

Lecce

W-D-L: 3-0-7Win rate: 30%
Favourite formation: 4-3-3Avg first sub: 45.5′Subs per game: 5

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

6.86Avg rating
Últimas notas: 6.8 · 8 · 8.1 · 6.8 · 6.3In form: Rafik Belghali
6.73Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.4 · 7.3 · 6.9 · 7.1 · 7.5In form: Antonino Gallo

Torino

Manager: Ignazio Abate

3-5-2

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Lecce

Manager: Eusebio Di Francesco

4-3-3

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

Lecce's situation requires double attention, as the visiting team is going through a phase of instability with three consecutive defeats against Genoa, Frosinone, and Juventus. In the recent retrospective, the team has only one win and four defeats in the last five matches played. The only recent moment of relief came in the expressive triumph over Udinese, a result that serves as a mirror to try to surprise away from home.

Recent Form

Torino

LLWWW
L0-2vs Frosinone
L1-3vs Como
W3-2vs Monza
W3-0vs Parma
W2-1vs Udinese
Rate: 60%GF: 9GA: 8

Lecce

LLLWL
L1-2vs Genoa
L1-5vs Frosinone
L0-2vs Juventus
W3-0vs Udinese
L1-2vs Bologna
Rate: 20%GF: 6GA: 11

Recent results

TorinoLecce

Venue performance

Torino

Home games
2W1D3L6 games

39%

Win rate

1.5

Goals scored/game

2.0

Goals conceded/game

Lecce

Away games
3W0D3L6 games

50%

Win rate

1.5

Goals scored/game

1.8

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Statistical projections point to a considerable advantage for the home team, which concentrates 52.3% probability of victory for this match. The possibility of a draw appears evaluated at 22.6%, indicating a relatively narrow margin for a tied score. Lecce carries 25.1% of chances of leaving Turin with the three points, needing to overcome the favoritism of the opponent to rehabilitate itself in the tournament.

Averages (last 6 months)

TorinoLecce

Overview

48.9Ball possession (%)39.7
2.2Big chances2.5
3.8Corner kicks4.5
1.0Expected goals1.3
10.1Fouls13.4
1.2Yellow cards2.1

Overview

1.1Expected goals1.3
3.8Shots on target5.0
10.8Total shots12.3

Season stats — radar

TorinoLecce

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1AC Milan00000000
2AS Roma00000000
3Atalanta00000000
4Bologna00000000
5Cagliari00000000
6Como00000000
7Fiorentina00000000
8Frosinone00000000
9Genoa00000000
10Inter00000000
11Juventus00000000
12Lazio00000000
13Lecce00000000
14Monza00000000
15Parma00000000
16SSC Napoli00000000
17Sassuolo00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20Venezia00000000

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Torino

V 4E 2D 6

Lecce

V 5E 0D 7

Head to Head

5 wins Torino · 1 draws · 4 wins Lecce

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Torino1-0Lecce-
Lecce2-1Torino-
Lecce1-0Torino-
Torino0-0Lecce-
Torino2-0Lecce-
Lecce0-1Torino-
Lecce0-2Torino-
Torino1-0Lecce-
Lecce4-0Torino-
Torino1-2Lecce-

H2H goals history

TorinoLecce

Goals by Minute Range

TorinoLecce

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

With the mutual need to score points, the initial attitude of each team can define the course of the match at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Torino tends to take the initiative to justify the favorable record as the host, while Lecce should seek a more cautious attitude to contain the rival's momentum and exploit defensive gaps. The final result will have a direct impact on the confidence of whoever manages to end the moment of oscillation in the table.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Torino

Che Adams⚽ 5
Giovanni Simeone⚽ 2
Sandro Kulenović⚽ 2
Daniel Bragança⚽ 1
Kian Fitz-Jim⚽ 1

Lecce

Lassana Coulibaly⚽ 2
Walid Cheddira⚽ 2
Tiago Gabriel⚽ 2
Youssef Maleh⚽ 1
Lameck Banda⚽ 1

Unavailable / Suspended

Based on current data. May change before match day.

Torino

—

Lecce

Jamil Siebert

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Torino