Jamil Siebert
Reason: 3 yellows
Suspended against: Torino
Torino seeks reaction at home against a pressured Lecce
In Turin, the hosts attempt to end a recent negative streak, while the visitors need to score to stop a series of defeats.
This Saturday, at 2 pm, the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino will host the match between Torino and Lecce, valid for the 11th round of the Serie A. Both teams take to the field seeking to rediscover the path to victories in the Italian championship. The match in Turin pits against each other teams that have stumbled and need immediate points.
What's at Stake
Torino comes into the match under pressure after suffering two consecutive setbacks in the competition, being overtaken by Frosinone and Como in the last rounds. Despite these recent stumbles, the maroon team has three wins and two losses in their last five commitments, sustained by the triumphs obtained against Monza, Parma, and Udinese. Playing in front of their fans, the team intends to use the home factor to regain the positive rhythm of the beginning of this sequence.
52.3%Torino
25.1%LecceAutomatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.
10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG
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Managers
Manager
Ignazio Abate
Torino
Manager
Eusebio Di Francesco
Lecce
Probable lineups
ProbableProjected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.
Who arrives hotter
Torino
Manager: Ignazio Abate
Starters
Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Bench
Lecce
Manager: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starters
Goalkeeper
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Bench
Road to the Match
Lecce's situation requires double attention, as the visiting team is going through a phase of instability with three consecutive defeats against Genoa, Frosinone, and Juventus. In the recent retrospective, the team has only one win and four defeats in the last five matches played. The only recent moment of relief came in the expressive triumph over Udinese, a result that serves as a mirror to try to surprise away from home.
Torino
Lecce
Torino
Home games39%
Win rate
1.5
Goals scored/game
2.0
Goals conceded/game
Lecce
Away games50%
Win rate
1.5
Goals scored/game
1.8
Goals conceded/game
Tactical Analysis
Statistical projections point to a considerable advantage for the home team, which concentrates 52.3% probability of victory for this match. The possibility of a draw appears evaluated at 22.6%, indicating a relatively narrow margin for a tied score. Lecce carries 25.1% of chances of leaving Turin with the three points, needing to overcome the favoritism of the opponent to rehabilitate itself in the tournament.
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Monza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Torino
Lecce
5 wins Torino · 1 draws · 4 wins Lecce
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Stadium |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 1-0 | Lecce | - | |
| Lecce | 2-1 | Torino | - | |
| Lecce | 1-0 | Torino | - | |
| Torino | 0-0 | Lecce | - | |
| Torino | 2-0 | Lecce | - | |
| Lecce | 0-1 | Torino | - | |
| Lecce | 0-2 | Torino | - | |
| Torino | 1-0 | Lecce | - | |
| Lecce | 4-0 | Torino | - | |
| Torino | 1-2 | Lecce | - |
Match Outlook
With the mutual need to score points, the initial attitude of each team can define the course of the match at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Torino tends to take the initiative to justify the favorable record as the host, while Lecce should seek a more cautious attitude to contain the rival's momentum and exploit defensive gaps. The final result will have a direct impact on the confidence of whoever manages to end the moment of oscillation in the table.
Last 6 months
Torino
Lecce
Based on current data. May change before match day.
Torino
—
Lecce
Jamil Siebert
Reason: 3 yellows
Suspended against: Torino