Data F.C.data F.C.
Premier League · Round 10
Craven Cottage · London · 29,600 seats
Carregando seus bolões...

Fulham bets on home factor to overcome oscillating Newcastle

Separated by narrow margins in projections, hosts try to maintain regularity against a rival seeking immediate recovery

Craven Cottage hosts Fulham and Newcastle United this Saturday, at 3 pm, for the tenth round of the Premier League. Both teams take to the field seeking affirmation in the championship after distinct recent sequences in the season.

What's at Stake

The Fulham comes to the confrontation supported by a more stable phase, accumulating two wins, two draws, and only one defeat in their last five games. The London team comes from a 1-1 draw against Aston Villa, maintaining a consistent scoring sequence. On the other hand, Newcastle United tries to rediscover the path to triumphs after being surpassed by Everton 1-0, totaling two wins and three defeats in the last five performances.

Win Probability

Fulham36.0%Fulham
=
30.9%Draw
Newcastle United33.1%Newcastle United

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

Adjust the scenario

FulhamNeutral
DefOff
Newcastle UnitedNeutral
DefOff

Adjust the controls above and click simulate to see the results distribution.

Managers

Manager

Álvaro Arbeloa

Fulham

W-D-L: 2-3-4Win rate: 22%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 68.7′Subs per game: 4.6

Manager

Matthias Jaissle

Newcastle United

W-D-L: 3-2-4Win rate: 33%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 59′Subs per game: 4.6

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

7.05Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.3 · 7.6 · 9.7 · 7.2 · 6.5In form: Alex Iwobi
6.79Avg rating
Últimas notas: 7.9 · 6.7 · 7 · 7.4 · 6.6In form: Fabian Schär

Fulham

Manager: Álvaro Arbeloa

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Newcastle United

Manager: Matthias Jaissle

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

The estimates for the duel point to a scenario of great balance, reflecting the proximity of forces between the clubs. The hosts carry a slight favoritism, with 36% probability of victory, driven by the atmosphere in London. Meanwhile, the visiting team appears with 33.1% chances of surprising and taking the three points home, while the possibility of a draw is calculated at 30.9%.

Recent Form

Fulham

DWWLD
D1-1vs Aston Villa
W1-0vs Coventry City
W1-0vs Hull City
L1-2vs Ipswich Town
D1-1vs Manchester United
Rate: 53%GF: 5GA: 4

Newcastle United

LWLLW
L0-1vs Everton
W2-0vs Crystal Palace
L0-1vs Aston Villa
L1-4vs Coventry City
W2-1vs Hull City
Rate: 40%GF: 5GA: 7

Recent results

FulhamNewcastle United

Venue performance

Fulham

Home games
2W1D2L5 games

47%

Win rate

1.6

Goals scored/game

1.4

Goals conceded/game

Newcastle United

Away games
2W0D3L5 games

40%

Win rate

1.2

Goals scored/game

2.0

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Defensive consistency has been an important point for Fulham, which suffered few goals in recent commitments and showed safety against Coventry City and Hull City. In turn, Newcastle needs to stem the oscillation of results to not give up ground in the table, especially after recent stumbles away from their domains. The trend is for a very studied tactical confrontation, where efficiency in the few created chances will define the score.

Averages (last 6 months)

FulhamNewcastle United

Overview

57.6Ball possession (%)51.6
2.6Big chances1.5
6.3Corner kicks5.0
1.6Expected goals1.0
10.6Fouls11.1
2.1Yellow cards2.6

Overview

1.5Expected goals1.2
4.7Shots on target3.5
14.8Total shots12.2

Season stats — radar

FulhamNewcastle United

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Arsenal00000000
2Aston Villa00000000
3Bournemouth00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove Albion00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Coventry City00000000
8Crystal Palace00000000
9Everton00000000
10Fulham00000000
11Hull City00000000
12Ipswich Town00000000
13Leeds United00000000
14Liverpool FC00000000
15Manchester City00000000
16Manchester United00000000
17Newcastle United00000000
18Nottingham Forest00000000
19Sunderland00000000
20Tottenham Hotspur00000000

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Fulham

V 3E 4D 4

Newcastle United

V 4E 2D 5

Head to Head

3 wins Fulham · 0 draws · 7 wins Newcastle United

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Fulham2-0Newcastle UnitedCraven Cottage
Newcastle United2-1Fulham-
Newcastle United2-1Fulham-
Newcastle United1-2Fulham-
Fulham3-1Newcastle United-
Fulham0-1Newcastle United-
Fulham0-2Newcastle United-
Newcastle United3-0Fulham-
Newcastle United1-0Fulham-
Fulham1-4Newcastle United-

H2H goals history

FulhamNewcastle United

Goals by Minute Range

FulhamNewcastle United

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

Playing in front of their crowd, Fulham will try to impose their usual rhythm to transform the slight statistical favoritism into a real advantage on the scoreboard. Newcastle bets on the ability to respond quickly to interrupt the negative sequence and return to score consistently in the tournament. With such narrow margins in the forecasts, the details throughout the ninety minutes will dictate the course of the match in London.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Fulham

Joshua King⚽ 2
Ryan Sessegnon⚽ 1
Lisandro Martínez⚽ 1
Zion Suzuki⚽ 1
Oscar Bobb⚽ 1

Newcastle United

William Osula⚽ 3
Anthony Elanga⚽ 2
Joe Willock⚽ 2
Harvey Barnes⚽ 2
Sven Botman⚽ 1

Unavailable / Suspended

Based on current data. May change before match day.

Fulham

Calvin Bassey

Reason: 3 yellows

Suspended against: Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Jacob Ramsey

Reason: Red card

Suspended against: Fulham