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LaLiga · Round 12
La Rosaleda · Malaga · 30,044 seats
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In search of recovery, Málaga hosts Racing for the 12th round of LaLiga

Home team attempts to break winless streak at La Rosaleda against visitors who arrive slightly more favored in projections

La Rosaleda will be the stage for the duel between Málaga CF and Real Racing Club this Saturday, at 1 pm, valid for the 12th round of LaLiga. Both teams take to the field with the need to score points to change the course of their campaigns in the Spanish season.

What's at Stake

The Málaga CF is going through an uncomfortable phase in the championship and arrives at the confrontation seeking to rediscover the path to three points in front of its fans. The recent record is alarming, accumulating 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last five matches. The team comes from a 2-1 defeat against Real Betis, after drawing 1-1 with Deportivo Alavés, suffering a harsh 5-2 defeat against Real Sociedad, drawing 1-1 with Espanyol, and losing by the minimum score to Getafe.

Win Probability

35.9%Málaga CF
=
21.3%Draw
42.8%Real Racing Club

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

Adjust the scenario

Málaga CFNeutral
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Real Racing ClubNeutral
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Adjust the controls above and click simulate to see the results distribution.

Referee

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

22 games
5.45Yellows / game
0.45Reds / game
3.5′Avg added time

Trend under this referee

Home win 41%Draw 14%Away win 46%
History with Málaga CF(1j)🟨 6🟥 1
History with Real Racing Club(1j)🟨 2🟥 0

Managers

Manager

Juan Funes

Málaga CF

W-D-L: 0-5-7Win rate: 0%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 52.2′Subs per game: 5

Manager

José Alberto López

Real Racing Club

W-D-L: 4-2-6Win rate: 33%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 51′Subs per game: 5

Probable lineups

Confirmed

Málaga CF

Manager: Juan Funes

5-3-2

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Real Racing Club

Manager: José Alberto López

4-5-1

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

On the other hand, the Real Racing Club attempts to reestablish itself after a stumble in its last challenge in the competition. The visiting team has 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five matches of the season. After being surpassed by Real Madrid 3-0, Racing tries to regain the efficient posture that guaranteed the 2-1 triumph over Espanyol, in addition to the 2-2 draw with Valencia, seeking to forget the stumbles against Osasuna and Celta Vigo.

Recent Form

Málaga CF

LDLDL
L1-2vs Real Betis
D1-1vs Deportivo Alavés
L2-5vs Real Sociedad
D1-1vs Espanyol
L0-1vs Getafe
Rate: 13%GF: 5GA: 10

Real Racing Club

LWLDL
L0-3vs Real Madrid
W2-1vs Espanyol
L0-2vs Osasuna
D2-2vs Valencia
L0-5vs Celta Vigo
Rate: 27%GF: 4GA: 13

Recent results

Málaga CFReal Racing Club

Venue performance

Málaga CF

Home games
0W6D3L9 games

22%

Win rate

0.9

Goals scored/game

1.6

Goals conceded/game

Real Racing Club

Away games
1W1D5L7 games

19%

Win rate

1.0

Goals scored/game

2.9

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

The statistical model points to a balanced confrontation, but with a slight advantage for the visitors: Real Racing Club stands out with a 42.8% probability of victory, driven by the fact that it has recently achieved a triumph. Meanwhile, Málaga has a 35.9% estimated chance of securing a victory in front of its fans, while a tie in the score emerges as an intermediate alternative, priced at 21.3% probability.

Averages (last 6 months)

Málaga CFReal Racing Club

Overview

49.5Ball possession (%)50.1
1.4Big chances2.1
5.1Corner kicks4.8
11.8Fouls12.4
2.6Yellow cards2.6

Overview

1.0Expected goals1.4
3.5Shots on target4.8
11.3Total shots12.9

Season stats — radar

Málaga CFReal Racing Club

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Athletic Club00000000
2Atlético Madrid00000000
3Celta Vigo00000000
4Deportivo Alavés00000000
5Deportivo de A Coruña00000000
6Elche00000000
7Espanyol00000000
8FC Barcelona00000000
9Getafe00000000
10Levante UD00000000
11Málaga CF00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real Betis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Racing Club00000000
17Real Sociedad00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Málaga CF

V 4E 8D 7

Real Racing Club

V 6E 3D 6

Head to Head

0 wins Málaga CF · 2 draws · 2 wins Real Racing Club

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Málaga CF1-1Real Racing Club-
Real Racing Club3-0Málaga CF-
Real Racing Club2-1Málaga CF-
Málaga CF0-0Real Racing Club-

H2H goals history

Málaga CFReal Racing Club

Goals by Minute Range

Málaga CFReal Racing Club

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

The dynamics at La Rosaleda pit two teams that need to transform their attitude on the field into practical results to evolve in the table. Málaga will try to dictate the pace in its own stadium to stop the series of negative results. At the same time, Racing intends to exploit the opponent's anxiety to score away from home and confirm the favoritism indicated by the numerical projections.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Málaga CF

Adrián Niño⚽ 5
Carlos Dotor⚽ 2
Chupete⚽ 1
Pablo Martínez⚽ 1

Real Racing Club

Yassir Zabiri⚽ 9
Iván Martín⚽ 1
Jeanuël Belocian⚽ 1
Maguette Gueye⚽ 1
Iker Luque⚽ 1