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Bundesliga · Round 9
Red Bull Arena · Leipzig · 47,069 seats
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RB Leipzig hosts FC Augsburg in search of momentum in the Bundesliga

Home team bets on favoritism at home against an opponent trying to end a negative streak in round 9

The Red Bull Arena will be the stage for the meeting between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg this Saturday, at 2:30 pm, valid for the ninth round of the Bundesliga. Both teams take to the field seeking important points to consolidate their trajectories in the classification table.

What's at Stake

The RB Leipzig comes to the duel with the intention of maintaining the positive pace it built in its most recent matches. The home team has three wins and two losses in the last five commitments, coming from expressive triumphs without conceding goals, such as the 2-0 win over FC Schalke 04 and the 4-0 thrashing of SV 07 Elversberg. Playing in front of their crowd, the team seeks to continue this response after facing oscillations against European opponents.

Win Probability

RB Leipzig70.6%RB Leipzig
=
16.1%Draw
FC Augsburg13.3%FC Augsburg

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

Adjust the scenario

RB LeipzigNeutral
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FC AugsburgNeutral
DefOff

Adjust the controls above and click simulate to see the results distribution.

Managers

Manager

Martín Demichelis

RB Leipzig

W-D-L: 5-0-3Win rate: 63%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 49.9′Subs per game: 4.9

Manager

Manuel Baum

FC Augsburg

W-D-L: 2-3-3Win rate: 25%
Favourite formation: 3-4-3Avg first sub: 55.4′Subs per game: 4.9

Probable lineups

Probable

Projected from the last 5 matches. Dots indicate starter frequency; suspended players are shown faded.

Who arrives hotter

7.08Avg rating
Últimas notas: 8.6 · 7 · 8 · 7 · 7.9In form: Maarten Vandevoordt
7.05Avg rating
Últimas notas: 8.3 · 9.5 · 7.5 · 6.9 · 6.9In form: Finn Dahmen

RB Leipzig

Manager: Martín Demichelis

4-3-3

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

FC Augsburg

Manager: Manuel Baum

3-4-3

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

On the other hand, FC Augsburg tries to overcome a moment of instability to add points away from home. The team's recent record shows two draws and three defeats in the last five performances, including the 2-1 loss to SC Freiburg and competitive draws against 1. FC Union Berlin and FC Bayern München. The group's main challenge is to transform the power of reaction shown in these draws into a complete positive result.

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

LWWLL
L2-3vs Manchester City
W2-0vs FC Schalke 04
W4-0vs SV 07 Elversberg
L1-4vs Real Madrid
L1-6vs FC Bayern München
Rate: 40%GF: 10GA: 13

FC Augsburg

LDLDL
L1-2vs SC Freiburg
D1-1vs 1. FC Union Berlin
L3-4vs SV 07 Elversberg
D2-2vs FC Bayern München
L2-3vs SV Werder Bremen
Rate: 13%GF: 9GA: 12

Recent results

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

Venue performance

RB Leipzig

Home games
5W0D1L6 games

83%

Win rate

3.5

Goals scored/game

0.5

Goals conceded/game

FC Augsburg

Away games
1W0D3L4 games

25%

Win rate

2.3

Goals scored/game

3.0

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Statistical projections reflect the weight of the home field and the current moment of the two sides, indicating broad favoritism for Leipzig, which has a 73.0% probability of victory. The margin for a draw is calculated at 16.2%, while a surprising win for the visitors carries a 10.8% chance. The trend is for an aggressive posture from the hosts from the initial minutes to make this theoretical superiority valid.

Averages (last 6 months)

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

Overview

50.2Ball possession (%)46.3
3.3Big chances2.6
4.8Corner kicks5.7
1.1Expected goals0.5
11.3Fouls9.2
1.3Yellow cards1.3

Overview

2.1Expected goals2.0
6.5Shots on target5.9
16.2Total shots16.4

Season stats — radar

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
11. FC Köln00000000
21. FC Union Berlin00000000
31. FSV Mainz 0500000000
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen00000000
5Borussia Dortmund00000000
6Borussia M'gladbach00000000
7Eintracht Frankfurt00000000
8FC Augsburg00000000
9FC Bayern München00000000
10FC Schalke 0400000000
11Hamburger SV00000000
12RB Leipzig00000000
13SC Freiburg00000000
14SC Paderborn 0700000000
15SV 07 Elversberg00000000
16SV Werder Bremen00000000
17TSG Hoffenheim00000000
18VfB Stuttgart00000000

W/D/L (last 6 months)

RB Leipzig

V 6E 0D 8

FC Augsburg

V 2E 3D 4

Head to Head

6 wins RB Leipzig · 4 draws · 0 wins FC Augsburg

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
RB Leipzig2-1FC Augsburg-
FC Augsburg0-6RB Leipzig-
FC Augsburg0-0RB Leipzig-
RB Leipzig4-0FC Augsburg-
FC Augsburg2-2RB Leipzig-
RB Leipzig3-0FC Augsburg-
RB Leipzig3-2FC Augsburg-
FC Augsburg3-3RB Leipzig-
RB Leipzig4-0FC Augsburg-
FC Augsburg1-1RB Leipzig-

H2H goals history

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

Goals by Minute Range

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

With distinct strategies for the ninth round, the duel puts face to face the recent solidity of RB Leipzig's defense against FC Augsburg's urgent need to break the drought. If the home team seeks to impose its offensive volume to control the pace, the visitor will need to adjust the rear that was leaked in the last rounds to resist the pressure and explore the opportunities that arise throughout the afternoon.

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa⚽ 5
Tidiam Gomis⚽ 4
Christopher Nkunku⚽ 4
Rômulo⚽ 4
Ridle Baku⚽ 3

FC Augsburg

Michael Gregoritsch⚽ 5
Robin Fellhauer⚽ 3
Fabian Rieder⚽ 2
Rodrigo Ribeiro⚽ 2
Anton Kade⚽ 1