Data F.C.data F.C.
Brasileirão Série B · Round 37
Estádio Santa Cruz · Ribeirao Preto · 29,292 seats
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Botafogo-SP Defends Recent Unbeaten Streak Against Londrina in the Final Stretch

Boosted by four wins in the last five rounds, the São Paulo team hosts the Paraná opponent trying to stop a negative streak

The Santa Cruz Stadium will host the match between Botafogo-SP and Londrina on Thursday at 10:30 PM for the 37th round of the Brazilian Championship Series B. The penultimate round puts teams with opposing trajectories in this national competition finale face to face

What's at Stake

The Botafogo-SP arrives at the commitment boosted by an excellent recent performance. The team boasts a record of 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games, after a 1-1 tie with Sport Recife in the last appearance. Before the draw, the São Paulo team had strung together wins against Avaí, CRB, Ceará, and Operário-PR, consolidating a notable defensive consistency by conceding only two goals in this interval of matches

Win Probability

Botafogo-SP50.8%Botafogo-SP
=
28.1%Draw
Londrina21.0%Londrina

Automatically updated with the latest results. Probabilities may change as teams play.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 matches simulated with Poisson distribution + real xG

Adjust the scenario

Botafogo-SPNeutral
DefOff
LondrinaNeutral
DefOff

Adjust the controls above and click simulate to see the results distribution.

Referee

Franciel dos Santos Martins

3 games
3.67Yellows / game
0Reds / game
6′Avg added time

Trend under this referee

Home win 33%Draw 67%Away win 0%
History with Botafogo-SP(2j)🟨 2.5🟥 0
History with Londrina(1j)🟨 3🟥 0

Managers

Manager

Cláudio Tencati

Botafogo-SP

W-D-L: 14-9-14Win rate: 38%
Favourite formation: 4-5-1Avg first sub: 56.1′Subs per game: 5.1

Manager

Hugo Emanuel Barros Chacon

Londrina

W-D-L: 1-1-4Win rate: 17%
Favourite formation: 3-5-1Avg first sub: 51′Subs per game: 4.8

Probable lineups

Confirmed

Botafogo-SP

Manager: Cláudio Tencati

3-4-2

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Londrina

Manager: Hugo Emanuel Barros Chacon

2-4-3

Starters

Goalkeeper

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bench

Road to the Match

On the other hand, Londrina tries to rediscover the path to victories after consecutive stumbles away from home. The Paraná team accumulates 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in its last 5 commitments, coming from consecutive setbacks against América Mineiro by 3-1 and CRB by 2-1. The team's only recent celebration occurred in the narrow 1-0 win over Cuiabá, a scenario that increases the need for an immediate response in the standings

Recent Form

Botafogo-SP

DWWWW
D1-1vs Sport Recife
W2-0vs Avaí
W1-0vs CRB
W1-0vs Ceará
W2-1vs Operário-PR
Rate: 87%GF: 7GA: 2

Londrina

LLWDL
L1-3vs América Mineiro
L1-2vs CRB
W1-0vs Cuiabá
D2-2vs Athletic Club
L1-2vs Avaí
Rate: 27%GF: 6GA: 9

Recent results

Botafogo-SPLondrina

Venue performance

Botafogo-SP

Home games
7W2D6L15 games

51%

Win rate

1.6

Goals scored/game

1.3

Goals conceded/game

Londrina

Away games
2W3D10L15 games

20%

Win rate

1.1

Goals scored/game

1.9

Goals conceded/game

Tactical Analysis

Despite the favorable moment for the hosts, statistical projections point to a perfectly equal division of forces for the confrontation in Ribeirão Preto. The mathematical model attributes a 33.3% probability of victory for the home team, exactly the same index of 33.3% calculated for both a draw and a win for the visiting club. This mathematical leveling reflects the traditional unpredictability of Series B confrontations in the penultimate round

Averages (last 6 months)

Botafogo-SPLondrina

Overview

48.8Ball possession (%)46.9
1.7Big chances2.0
6.0Corner kicks5.0
1.0Expected goals1.2
15.8Fouls13.3
2.2Yellow cards2.2

Overview

1.2Expected goals1.4
3.5Shots on target4.1
12.9Total shots14.4

Season stats — radar

Botafogo-SPLondrina

Standings

PosTeamJVEDGPGCSGPts
1Grêmio Novorizontino361910764313367
2Juventude361811747252265
3Vila Nova FC36189952381463
4Criciúma36188103830862
5Fortaleza361614643311262
6CRB36167135451355
7Goiás36167133841-355
8Sport Recife36141394839955
9Atlético Goianiense36141394233955
10São Bernardo3614101251401152
11Botafogo-SP37149144539651
12Operário-PR36149134648-251
13Cuiabá361114113330347
14Athletic Club361114114241147
15Náutico361210144046-646
16Ceará361110153846-843
17Avaí36107193346-1337
18Londrina3788214558-1332
19América Mineiro3675242655-2926
20Ponte Preta3636272178-5715

W/D/L (last 6 months)

Botafogo-SP

V 12E 6D 12

Londrina

V 7E 6D 17

Head to Head

2 wins Botafogo-SP · 2 draws · 1 wins Londrina

DateHomeScoreAwayStadium
Londrina0-0Botafogo-SPEstadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
Botafogo-SP0-1Londrina-
Londrina1-2Botafogo-SP-
Londrina1-1Botafogo-SP-
Botafogo-SP2-1Londrina-

H2H goals history

Botafogo-SPLondrina

Goals by Minute Range

Botafogo-SPLondrina

Average goals per half

1st half2nd half

Match Outlook

With the competition reaching its final moments, each disputed point in the interior of São Paulo carries significant weight in the planning of the teams. Botafogo-SP bets on the home factor and the recent positive retrospect to add three more points in front of its crowd, while Londrina travels focused on breaking the rhythm of the opponent and ending the championship with an affirmation result

Top Scorers

Last 6 months

Botafogo-SP

Hygor⚽ 9
Everton Morelli⚽ 5
Patrick Brey⚽ 5
Wesley Pinheiro⚽ 3
Rafael Gava⚽ 3

Londrina

Bruno Santos⚽ 8
João Vitor⚽ 5
Igor Bahia⚽ 3
Herbert⚽ 3
Gilberto⚽ 2