Jorge Arias
Reason: Red card
Suspended against: Boston River
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41.4%Millonarios23.2%Boston River
CONMEBOL Sudamericana, Group C · Round 2
Millonarios
VS
Thu, 04/16 · 02:00 AM
Boston River
Thursday, April 16, 202602:00 AM
Millonarios seeks vital point against Boston River in 2nd round of the Sudamericana
Colombian side tries to bounce back after two defeats, while the Uruguayans aim to firm up away from home
In the early hours of April 16, Millonarios face Boston River in a match still without a designated stadium, for the second round of Group C of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. The clash offers more than three points; it is an opportunity to change the trajectory in the competition.
O que está em jogo
With the standings still embryonic, neither team occupies a leading position in the group, but the gap between scoring points or slipping into the virtual relegation zone is already felt. While the group has eight teams with three points, today’s result could separate those still with chances to advance from those already seeing themselves out of contention. A point gives the winner greater peace of mind for the upcoming fixtures.
Win Probability
41.4%Millonarios=
35.4%Draw23.2%Boston RiverComo os times chegam
Recent form does not favor Millonarios, which has accumulated three losses and two draws in the last five games, including defeats to O'Higgins (0-2) and Jaguares de Córdoba (0-1). The sole victory came against Once Caldas (4-1), but the overall performance indicates defensive fragility. Meanwhile, Boston River arrives with two wins (Montevideo Wanderers 4-1, Juventud de Las Piedras 2-1) but also three defeats, among them a setback to Defensor Sporting (0-2). Both sides show inconsistency, making the clash even more open.
Recent Form
Millonarios
DLLDW
D1-1vs Independiente Santa Fe
L2-0vs O'Higgins
L1-0vs Jaguares de Córdoba
D2-2vs Fortaleza FC
W1-4vs Once Caldas
Rate: 33%GF: 7GA: 7
Boston River
LLWWL
L2-0vs Defensor Sporting
L0-1vs São Paulo
W4-1vs Montevideo Wanderers
W1-2vs Juventud de Las Piedras
L0-2vs Peñarol
Rate: 40%GF: 6GA: 7
Análise tática
The numbers show a slight edge for the home side, with a 41.4% chance of victory, while a draw has a 35.4% probability. The model also indicates that Boston River has a 23.2% chance of coming out on top. This gap suggests the duel will be tight, with the match able to swing either way. Millonarios will need to improve the defensive organization that allowed so many goals conceded, while Boston River should maintain the offensive efficiency displayed against the Wanderers.
Season Averages
MillonariosBoston River
Match overview
39.50Ball possession35.50
1.50Big chances1.00
3.00Corner kicks3.50
1.04Expected goals0.52
15.50Fouls13.00
4.00Yellow cards1.00
Shots
3.50Shots on target2.00
7.50Total shots9.50
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | América de Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Montevideo City Torque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Caracas F.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 3 | Recoleta FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud de Las Piedras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atlético de Sullana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Atlético Mineiro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Grêmio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Macará | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Club Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Bull Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Audax Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Goals by Minute Range
MillonariosBoston River
0
1-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90
1
O cenário da partida
With the stadium still undecided, the match could take place in a neutral venue, which tends to reduce home advantage. This condition may favor the visiting team, which has already shown the ability to impose its rhythm away from home. However, the Colombian crowd is usually decisive, and its support could be crucial in turning the slight statistical edge into a concrete result. The duel promises to be a test of stamina and responsiveness for both clubs, which are still seeking to define their path in the group stage.
Top Scorers
Millonarios
Rodrigo Contreras⚽ 2
Leonardo Castro⚽ 1
Boston River
Fredy Martínez⚽ 1
Unavailable / Suspended
Millonarios
Boston River
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