CONMEBOL Libertadores, Group F · Round 2
Palmeiras
Club Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras aims to lead Group F in the Libertadores after a perfect start
With a 51% chance of victory, Verdão tries to cement first place against Sporting Cristal, who are still seeking a recovery
In the second round of the Libertadores, Palmeiras visits the still‑undecided stadium of Club Sporting Cristal this Thursday at 22:00. The match is worth important points to decide who will take the lead of Group F, where four teams already have three points.
O que está em jogo
Group F is still being defined, but already shows a tight battle for the top of the table. While LDU, Nacional, Corinthians, Universidad Central, Independiente Rivadavia, Flamengo and Boca Juniors also have three points, a single win could put Verdão ahead of the others. A 51.2% projected win probability makes Palmeiras the favorite, but a draw still carries a 22.6% likelihood.
Win Probability
51.2%Palmeiras26.2%Club Sporting CristalComo os times chegam
The recent run favors the São Paulo side: four consecutive victories, highlighted by narrow wins over Grêmio (2-1) and São Paulo (1-0). The last clash against Junior Barranquilla ended in a draw (1-1), but did not shake the squad's confidence. Club Sporting Cristal, on the other hand, has had a more irregular path. They beat Cerro Porteño (1-0) and Sport Boys (3-0), but suffered three defeats in the other games, including two heavy losses that exposed defensive fragility.
Recent Form
Palmeiras
Club Sporting Cristal
Análise tática
Technically, Palmeiras has shown defensive solidity combined with an attack that often opens the scoring in the early minutes, as against Bahia (2-1). This approach could be key to exploiting the slight edge in the odds, which point to more than a 50% chance of victory. On the other hand, Club Sporting Cristal has demonstrated the ability to react quickly, especially when scoring first, but recent inconsistency suggests they will need to improve organization to contain the opponent's momentum.
Season Averages
Match overview
Shots
Standings
| Pos | Team | J | V | E | D | GP | GC | SG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | LDU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Club Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Flamengo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Coquimbo Unido | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Peñarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellín | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | CA Lanús | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 3 | Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior Barranquilla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteño | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC Guayaquil | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Club Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Cusco FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Goals by Minute Range
O cenário da partida
If the numbers trend holds, Palmeiras should take the three points and assume the group lead, while Club Sporting Cristan will try to secure at least one point to avoid falling out of the race. Regardless of the result, the match will serve as a thermometer for the upcoming rounds, indicating who has the capacity to maintain the regularity needed to advance to the knockout stage.
Top Scorers
Palmeiras
Club Sporting Cristal